Yverdon 2-0 Lugano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
48%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.1
Over 2.5
50%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
8.37
1/2
5%
22.3
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
11%
11.2
X/2
10%
3.98
X/X
16%
5.58
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
33%
1.98
2/X
7%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
18%
+4.5pp
29%
Draw
24%
+5.0pp
48%
Away Win
58%
-9.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.7pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yverdon EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano EU Bookmakers 62%
+41% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.22/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.48/1.22
+62% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +81% / +11%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 458 · 85%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
12.2 Crosses 16.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yverdon
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Lugano
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 4.33
0.50 xG 2.28
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 4
294 Passes 432
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
12 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.03.2024 Lugano Lugano 2-0 HT 1-0 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
25.11.2023 Yverdon Yverdon 0-5 HT 0-0 Lugano Lugano İSV
13.08.2023 Lugano Lugano 6-1 HT 3-1 Yverdon Yverdon İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yverdon
2-0
AWAY Lugano
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 26
6 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Yverdon vs Lugano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yverdon got the better of Lugano 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Lugano at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Yverdon had 39% of the ball to Lugano's 61%, shots finished 11-26.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lugano led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Yverdon and 4.33 for Lugano.

What was the final score of Yverdon vs Lugano?

Yverdon 2-0 Lugano in the Switzerland - Super League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yverdon vs Lugano?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lugano win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 23%, draw 29%, Lugano 48%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lugano) ✗ BTTS Yes
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