Sassuolo (K) 2-4 Como (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sassuolo (K) EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Como (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.44/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.78
+22% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +42%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
402 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
33.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
27.9 Crosses 19.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sassuolo (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Como (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 0.47
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
359 Passes 235
74% Pass Accuracy 64%
16 Box Touches 9
19 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
28.01.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 0-1 HT 0-0 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) İTKSA
21.10.2023 Sassuolo (K) Sassuolo (K) 1-2 HT 0-1 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sassuolo (K)
2-4
AWAY Como (K)
0.80 xG 2.18
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 2
286 Passes 281
68% Pass Accuracy 68%
31 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sassuolo (K) vs Como (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Como (K) got the better of Sassuolo (K) 4-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sassuolo (K) at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sassuolo (K) had 51% of the ball to Como (K)'s 49%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 0.80 to 2.18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sassuolo (K) and 1.00 for Como (K).

What was the final score of Sassuolo (K) vs Como (K)?

Sassuolo (K) 2-4 Como (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sassuolo (K) vs Como (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sassuolo (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sassuolo (K) 46%, draw 26%, Como (K) 29%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sassuolo (K)) ✗ Under 2.5
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