Wellington Phoenix vs Western United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wellington Phoenix v Western United — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix vs Western United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
0-3
HT 0-1
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
2-3
HT 1-0
Western United
AVUS
1-0
HT 1-0
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
1-4
HT 0-3
Wellington Phoenix
AVUS
Wellington Phoenix 1-1 Western United — Actual Match Statistics
Wellington Phoenix and Western United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Wellington Phoenix at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.
On the day, Wellington Phoenix had 53% of the ball to Western United's 47%, shots finished 12-10, expected goals 1.45 to 0.65.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wellington Phoenix had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Wellington Phoenix and 0.83 for Western United.
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix vs Western United?
Wellington Phoenix 1-1 Western United in the Australia - A-League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix vs Western United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Wellington Phoenix win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix 45%, draw 25%, Western United 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wellington Phoenix), Over 2.5 went the other way.