Zira 1-1 Sabah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 20 Oct 2024

Zira
1-1 HT 0-1
Sabah
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.96
No
52%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
38%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.7pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zira EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Sabah EU Bookmakers 36%
+15% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +14%
1.51/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.12
+25% / +86% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zira
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Sabah
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
9 Corners 5
11.08.2024 Sabah Sabah 0-2 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
30.03.2024 Sabah Sabah 0-1 HT 0-1 Zira Zira AZERS
27.01.2024 Zira Zira 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
05.11.2023 Sabah Sabah 0-1 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
26.08.2023 Zira Zira 1-0 HT 1-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
22.05.2023 Sabah Sabah 0-0 HT 0-0 Zira Zira AZERS
POST-MATCH Zira vs Sabah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zira and Sabah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zira had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zira and 0.17 for Sabah.

What was the final score of Zira vs Sabah?

Zira 1-1 Sabah in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zira vs Sabah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Zira 35%, draw 27%, Sabah 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sabah), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
20 Oct 2024
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