Sumqayıt 2-4 Turan Tovuz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.6
Over 2.5
38%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.96
No
60%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
59%
+3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
41%
-3.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-6.8pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sumqayıt EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Turan Tovuz EU Bookmakers 45%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.84/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.17
-28% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
182 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sumqayıt
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Turan Tovuz
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
11.08.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-0 HT 1-0 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
19.04.2024 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 1-4 HT 0-2 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
18.02.2024 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
02.12.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-2 HT 0-2 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
23.09.2023 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt 0-0 HT 0-0 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz AZERS
31.03.2023 Turan Tovuz Turan Tovuz 2-3 HT 2-1 Sumqayıt Sumqayıt AZERS
POST-MATCH Sumqayıt vs Turan Tovuz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Turan Tovuz beat Sumqayıt 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Turan Tovuz as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sumqayıt had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sumqayıt and 1.00 for Turan Tovuz.

What was the final score of Sumqayıt vs Turan Tovuz?

Sumqayıt 2-4 Turan Tovuz in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sumqayıt vs Turan Tovuz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Turan Tovuz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sumqayıt 31%, draw 28%, Turan Tovuz 41%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Turan Tovuz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Turan Tovuz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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20 Oct 2024
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