SonderjyskE 3-2 Midtjylland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
5.41
2-3 Goals
40%
2.0
4-5 Goals
27%
2.68
6+ Goals
13%
6.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.25
1/2
7%
19.6
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1 EV+ ✗
12%
12.0
X/2
14%
3.94
X/X
11%
6.94
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
29%
1.84
2/X
6%
16.1
Value flag · X/1 at 12.0 — our 12% vs market 5.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
18%
+8.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
50%
Away Win
61%
-11.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SonderjyskE EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Midtjylland EU Bookmakers 66%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -10%
1.21/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.18
+1% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 79%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
14.5 Crosses 19.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SonderjyskE
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Midtjylland
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.16 xG 2.42
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 8
306 Passes 290
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 32
21 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.08.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-2 HT 1-2 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
29.06.2024 Midtjylland Midtjylland 2-2 HT 2-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE HAZ
24.10.2021 Midtjylland Midtjylland 3-2 HT 1-1 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAN
13.08.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 0-2 HT 0-1 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAN
15.04.2021 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE 3-1 HT 0-0 Midtjylland Midtjylland DAK
08.04.2021 Midtjylland Midtjylland 1-0 HT 0-0 SonderjyskE SonderjyskE DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME SonderjyskE
3-2
AWAY Midtjylland
1.88 xG 2.14
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
357 Passes 351
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 41
10 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH SonderjyskE vs Midtjylland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SonderjyskE squeezed past Midtjylland 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Midtjylland at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, SonderjyskE had 49% of the ball to Midtjylland's 51%, shots finished 15-19, expected goals 1.88 to 2.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Midtjylland led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for SonderjyskE and 2.00 for Midtjylland.

What was the final score of SonderjyskE vs Midtjylland?

SonderjyskE 3-2 Midtjylland in the Denmark - Süperlig on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SonderjyskE vs Midtjylland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Midtjylland win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split SonderjyskE 27%, draw 23%, Midtjylland 50%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Midtjylland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Midtjylland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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