Groningen 0-1 Utrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 20 Oct 2024

Groningen
0-1 HT 0-1
Utrecht
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Groningen vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.36
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.52
6+ Goals
13%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 29% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
3.97
1/2
13%
28.0
1/X
5%
12.9
X/1
15%
5.84
X/2
16%
5.33
X/X
14%
4.57
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
15%
3.49
2/X
5%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
35%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.2pp
44%
Away Win
38%
+5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.8pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Groningen v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Groningen EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Utrecht EU Bookmakers 42%
-13% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +9%
0.98/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.37
-52% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.1
18.5 Crosses 18.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1

Groningen vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Groningen
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Utrecht
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.94 xG 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
312 Passes 350
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 27
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2023 Groningen Groningen 1-2 HT 1-1 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
06.11.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 2-1 HT 0-1 Groningen Groningen HOL
20.03.2022 Utrecht Utrecht 1-3 HT 0-2 Groningen Groningen HOL
21.08.2021 Groningen Groningen 0-0 HT 0-0 Utrecht Utrecht HOL
19.05.2021 Utrecht Utrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 Groningen Groningen HOL
09.01.2021 Utrecht Utrecht 2-2 HT 1-2 Groningen Groningen HOL

Groningen 0-1 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Groningen
0-1
AWAY Utrecht
0.72 xG 0.51
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
411 Passes 280
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
FAQ Groningen vs Utrecht
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Utrecht edged past Groningen 1-0 away from home in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 20 Oct 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Groningen had 57% of the ball to Utrecht's 43%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 0.72 to 0.51.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Utrecht lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Groningen and 1.33 for Utrecht.

What was the final score of Groningen vs Utrecht?

Groningen 0-1 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Groningen vs Utrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated an Utrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Groningen 32%, draw 25%, Utrecht 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utrecht), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Utrecht) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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