Kaisar 5-1 Shakhter Karagandy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.64
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.06
No
59%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-8.4pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.4pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.6pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kaisar EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.22/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.76
-23% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
411 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kaisar
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Shakhter Karagandy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
05.05.2024 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 0-0 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
17.09.2023 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 2-2 HT 0-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
08.04.2023 Kaisar Kaisar 2-1 HT 2-1 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
19.09.2021 Kaisar Kaisar 1-2 HT 0-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
03.05.2021 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy 1-1 HT 1-0 Kaisar Kaisar KAZP
22.10.2020 Kaisar Kaisar 2-0 HT 1-0 Shakhter Karagandy Shakhter Karagandy KAZP
POST-MATCH Kaisar vs Shakhter Karagandy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaisar cruised past Shakhter Karagandy 5-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kaisar as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kaisar had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kaisar and 1.00 for Shakhter Karagandy.

What was the final score of Kaisar vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Kaisar 5-1 Shakhter Karagandy in the Kazakistan - Super League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kaisar vs Shakhter Karagandy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kaisar win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Kaisar 49%, draw 29%, Shakhter Karagandy 22%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kaisar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kaisar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
20 Oct 2024
12:00 Kyzyl-Zhar vs Atyrau Analysis →
14:00 Yelimay Semey vs FC Astana Analysis →