20/10/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-1
2nd Score
1-0
Yelimay Semey vs FC Astana Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Away Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
27%
Draw
27%
40%
Away Win
41%
57%
Under 2.5
56%
43%
Over 2.5
44%
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
53%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Yelimay Semey v FC Astana — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Yelimay Semey
EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY
FC Astana
EU Bookmakers 45%
+1% /
+1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-5% /
-5%
1.03/1.03
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.53/1.39
-4%
/
+12%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+22%
/
-32%
45%
Ball Possession
55%
11
Total Shots
14
4
Shots on Target
8
4
Corners
6
270 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
343 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
4.0
Yelimay Semey vs FC Astana Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Yelimay Semey
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
FC Astana
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Yelimay Semey vs FC Astana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FC Astana ran out comfortable winners over Yelimay Semey 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
Our pre-match split (32% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; FC Astana found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Yelimay Semey vs FC Astana?
Yelimay Semey 0-3 FC Astana in the Kazakistan - Super League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Yelimay Semey vs FC Astana?
Before kick-off our model rated an FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Yelimay Semey 32%, draw 27%, FC Astana 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (FC Astana)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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20 Oct 2024