Kyzyl-Zhar 3-2 Atyrau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.27
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.45
Over 2.5
33%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.16
No
59%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
40%
-2.6pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+2.4pp
67%
Under 2.5
65%
+2.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
35%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Atyrau EU Bookmakers 33%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.51/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.17
+18% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyzyl-Zhar
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atyrau
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.04.2024 Atyrau Atyrau 2-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
16.09.2023 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
08.04.2023 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 1-0 HT 0-0 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
15.10.2022 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar 3-1 HT 2-1 Atyrau Atyrau KAZP
14.05.2022 Atyrau Atyrau 3-3 HT 1-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
24.10.2021 Atyrau Atyrau 0-0 HT 0-0 Kyzyl-Zhar Kyzyl-Zhar KAZP
POST-MATCH Kyzyl-Zhar vs Atyrau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kyzyl-Zhar edged past Atyrau 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and on the day Kyzyl-Zhar made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kyzyl-Zhar had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kyzyl-Zhar and 1.00 for Atyrau.

What was the final score of Kyzyl-Zhar vs Atyrau?

Kyzyl-Zhar 3-2 Atyrau in the Kazakistan - Super League on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyzyl-Zhar vs Atyrau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kyzyl-Zhar win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kyzyl-Zhar 37%, draw 31%, Atyrau 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kyzyl-Zhar) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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