Jaguares De Cordoba 1-3 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 20 Oct 2024

Jaguares De Cordoba
1-3
Atletico Nacional
📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Colombia - Cup – 2024

Jaguares De Cordoba vs Atletico Nacional Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.59
Over 2.5
31%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
19%
+8.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
45%
Away Win
54%
-9.0pp
69%
Under 2.5
59%
+9.8pp
31%
Over 2.5
41%
-9.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-4.1pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jaguares De Cordoba v Atletico Nacional — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 57%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +79%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
254 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 407 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Jaguares De Cordoba vs Atletico Nacional Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaguares De Cordoba
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.94 xG 1.45
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
280 Passes 412
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.09.2024 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
28.03.2024 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-0 HT 0-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
30.07.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 1-1 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
05.02.2023 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 2-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
12.09.2022 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
18.03.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-1 HT 1-0 Jaguares De Cordoba Jaguares De Cordoba KOL
POST-MATCH Jaguares De Cordoba vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional saw off Jaguares De Cordoba 3-1 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jaguares De Cordoba and 1.83 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Jaguares De Cordoba vs Atletico Nacional?

Jaguares De Cordoba 1-3 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Cup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaguares De Cordoba vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Jaguares De Cordoba 28%, draw 28%, Atletico Nacional 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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