FA Siauliai 2-1 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
39%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
47%
-15.5pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
39%
Away Win
25%
+13.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.8pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 29%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.40/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/0.73
-64% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +38%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Suduva
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.07.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LITA
23.04.2024 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 0-1 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
01.03.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
25.10.2023 Suduva Suduva 2-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
08.07.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-2 HT 1-1 Suduva Suduva LITA
02.05.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-2 HT 0-2 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
2-1
AWAY Suduva
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai squeezed past Suduva 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 39%) promised a tight game; FA Siauliai found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 43% of the ball to Suduva's 57%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FA Siauliai and 0.83 for Suduva.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Suduva?

FA Siauliai 2-1 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated an Suduva win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 31%, draw 30%, Suduva 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Suduva) ✗ Under 2.5
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