FK Dainava Alytus 0-5 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒18:25 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.08
Away
59%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
33%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
14%
+6.8pp
20%
Draw
22%
-1.7pp
59%
Away Win
64%
-5.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-3.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.3pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 69%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -12%
0.00/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/0.73
-100% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -7%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
248 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.09.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-1 HT 2-1 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LITA
24.04.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 2-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
03.03.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
12.11.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 1-0 HT 1-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
20.08.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-2 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
11.06.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius cruised past FK Dainava Alytus 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.83 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

FK Dainava Alytus 0-5 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 21%, draw 20%, Zalgiris Vilnius 59%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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