Asker 4-2 Nordstrand — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.46
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
38%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.41
No
39%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.62
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
25%
2.63
6+ Goals
16%
6.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.0pp
38%
Away Win
38%
-0.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
67%
-5.3pp
39%
BTTS No
33%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asker EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Nordstrand EU Bookmakers 42%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
3.05/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.24/1.67
+61% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
291 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asker
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Nordstrand
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
29.10.2023 Nordstrand Nordstrand 1-0 HT 1-0 Asker Asker NOR4
10.04.2023 Asker Asker 1-1 HT 1-0 Nordstrand Nordstrand NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asker
4-2
AWAY Nordstrand
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Asker vs Nordstrand
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asker got the better of Nordstrand 4-2. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Asker made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

On the day, Asker had 40% of the ball to Nordstrand's 60%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Nordstrand led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Asker and 1.00 for Nordstrand.

What was the final score of Asker vs Nordstrand?

Asker 4-2 Nordstrand in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asker vs Nordstrand?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nordstrand win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Asker 34%, draw 28%, Nordstrand 38%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nordstrand) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nordstrand) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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