20/10/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
Bjarg vs Os Turn Fotball Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
36%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
16%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
73%
29%
Draw
15%
24%
Away Win
12%
67%
BTTS Yes
68%
33%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bjarg v Os Turn Fotball — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bjarg
EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY
Os Turn Fotball
EU Bookmakers 15%
-12% /
-18%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-9%
2.24/1.38
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.78/2.33
-28%
/
-19%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-30%
/
+34%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
15
Total Shots
9
7
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
3
466 · 83%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
260 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.3
Yellow Cards
1.8
POST-MATCH
Bjarg vs Os Turn Fotball
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bjarg edged past Os Turn Fotball 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Bjarg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (67%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bjarg vs Os Turn Fotball?
Bjarg 1-0 Os Turn Fotball in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bjarg vs Os Turn Fotball?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bjarg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bjarg 48%, draw 29%, Os Turn Fotball 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bjarg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bjarg)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
20 Oct 2024