20/10/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
Frigg vs Askollen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
27%
Over Pick
73%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Total Goals
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
14%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 73% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
58%
Home Win
85%
20%
Draw
8%
23%
Away Win
6%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Frigg v Askollen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Frigg
The Market 90%
Head to Head
AWAY
Askollen
The Market 9%
+0% /
+1%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+14% /
+14%
4.25/0.95
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.56/3.50
+28%
/
+10%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+48%
/
-7%
63%
Ball Possession
37%
16
Total Shots
7
7
Shots on Target
3
7
Corners
2
418 · 88%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
220 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.7
Yellow Cards
1.9
Frigg vs Askollen Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Frigg
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Askollen
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
59%
Ball Possession
41%
13
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Target
7
5
Corners
3
1
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Frigg vs Askollen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Frigg swept aside Askollen 13-0. Half-time: 1-0. 13 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Frigg as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 13-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (73%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.
What was the final score of Frigg vs Askollen?
Frigg 13-0 Askollen in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Frigg vs Askollen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Frigg win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Frigg 58%, draw 20%, Askollen 23%. The final score 13-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frigg), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Frigg)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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20 Oct 2024