HamKam II 1-0 Fredrikstad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under
30%
3.59
Over Pick
70%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.31
No
37%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1
15%
2-3
35%
4-5
35%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
4%
2/1
13%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 70%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
57%
Home Win
63%
-5.9pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.0pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+4.0pp
30%
Under 2.5
24%
+5.8pp
70%
Over 2.5
76%
-5.8pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.4pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HamKam II The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad II The Market 22%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
2.86/2.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/3.41
+10% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HamKam II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fredrikstad II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
22.07.2024 Fredrikstad II Fredrikstad II 2-1 HT 2-0 HamKam II HamKam II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HamKam II
1-0
AWAY Fredrikstad II
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HamKam II vs Fredrikstad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HamKam II nicked a narrow win over Fredrikstad II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had HamKam II as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HamKam II had 59% of the ball to Fredrikstad II's 41%, shots finished 9-4.

What was the final score of HamKam II vs Fredrikstad II?

HamKam II 1-0 Fredrikstad II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HamKam II vs Fredrikstad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a HamKam II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split HamKam II 57%, draw 20%, Fredrikstad II 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HamKam II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HamKam II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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