Harstad 0-1 Funnefoss / Vormsund — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.95
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
3.94
Over Pick
59%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1
20%
2-3
39%
4-5
30%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
58%
Home Win
68%
-10.9pp
23%
Draw
17%
+6.4pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
22%
+18.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
78%
-18.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-10.1pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Harstad The Market 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Funnefoss / Vormsund The Market 18%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +5%
1.63/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.95
-48% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +32%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
343 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Harstad
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Funnefoss / Vormsund
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 0
18.09.2022 Funnefoss / Vormsund Funnefoss / Vormsund 6-1 HT 5-1 Harstad Harstad NOR4
22.05.2022 Harstad Harstad 1-2 HT 0-1 Funnefoss / Vormsund Funnefoss / Vormsund NOR4
POST-MATCH Harstad vs Funnefoss / Vormsund
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Funnefoss / Vormsund squeezed past Harstad 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Harstad at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Funnefoss / Vormsund led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Harstad and 4.00 for Funnefoss / Vormsund.

What was the final score of Harstad vs Funnefoss / Vormsund?

Harstad 0-1 Funnefoss / Vormsund in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Harstad vs Funnefoss / Vormsund?

Before kick-off our model rated a Harstad win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Harstad 58%, draw 23%, Funnefoss / Vormsund 19%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Harstad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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