Mandalskameratene 5-1 Staal Jorpeland — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
46%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
4.0
Over 2.5
63%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.25
No
43%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
28%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.3pp
45%
Away Win
36%
+9.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
22%
+15.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
78%
-15.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
76%
-18.4pp
43%
BTTS No
24%
+18.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mandalskameratene EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Staal Jorpeland EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
1.92/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/1.67
-5% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +19%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mandalskameratene
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Staal Jorpeland
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
16.10.2021 Staal Jorpeland Staal Jorpeland 3-2 HT 0-0 Mandalskameratene Mandalskameratene NOR4
POST-MATCH Mandalskameratene vs Staal Jorpeland
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mandalskameratene ran out comfortable winners over Staal Jorpeland 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Staal Jorpeland at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

What was the final score of Mandalskameratene vs Staal Jorpeland?

Mandalskameratene 5-1 Staal Jorpeland in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mandalskameratene vs Staal Jorpeland?

Before kick-off our model rated an Staal Jorpeland win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mandalskameratene 32%, draw 22%, Staal Jorpeland 45%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Staal Jorpeland) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Staal Jorpeland) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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