20/10/2024
·
14:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-0
2nd Score
3-0
SK Traeff vs Spjelkavik Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1
14%
2-3
43%
4-5
30%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
6%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
SK Traeff win — 65% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
Over 2.5
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
65%
Home Win
73%
16%
Draw
16%
19%
Away Win
11%
36%
Under 2.5
25%
64%
Over 2.5
75%
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
53%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SK Traeff v Spjelkavik — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
SK Traeff
The Market 78%
Head to Head
AWAY
Spjelkavik
The Market 14%
+6% /
+6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-2% /
-4%
3.56/0.70
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.95/2.75
+15%
/
+63%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-15%
/
+13%
59%
Ball Possession
41%
19
Total Shots
9
8
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
434 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
284 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
SK Traeff vs Spjelkavik Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
SK Traeff
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Spjelkavik
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
SK Traeff vs Spjelkavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
SK Traeff ran out comfortable winners over Spjelkavik 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had SK Traeff as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of SK Traeff vs Spjelkavik?
SK Traeff 3-0 Spjelkavik in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SK Traeff vs Spjelkavik?
Before kick-off our model rated a SK Traeff win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split SK Traeff 65%, draw 16%, Spjelkavik 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SK Traeff), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (SK Traeff)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
20 Oct 2024