Sandnes Ulf II 1-5 Sandefjord II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.96
Draw
15%
3.94
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
Over Pick
63%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.25
No
42%
3.49
Total Goals
0-1
18%
2-3
35%
4-5
26%
6+
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
47%
+6.0pp
15%
Draw
22%
-6.9pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
76%
-17.3pp
42%
BTTS No
24%
+17.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sandnes Ulf II The Market 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandefjord II The Market 34%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.82/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/3.05
+33% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -31%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sandnes Ulf II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sandefjord II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 7.00
06.05.2024 Sandefjord II Sandefjord II 7-0 HT 3-0 Sandnes Ulf II Sandnes Ulf II NOR4
POST-MATCH Sandnes Ulf II vs Sandefjord II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sandefjord II ran out comfortable winners over Sandnes Ulf II 5-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sandnes Ulf II at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Sandnes Ulf II vs Sandefjord II?

Sandnes Ulf II 1-5 Sandefjord II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sandnes Ulf II vs Sandefjord II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sandnes Ulf II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Sandnes Ulf II 53%, draw 15%, Sandefjord II 32%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sandnes Ulf II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sandnes Ulf II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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