Sarpsborg 08 II 8-1 Mjöndalen II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.18
Draw
17%
7.13
Away
13%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.94
Over 2.5
64%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
11.25
2-3 Goals
32%
2.69
4-5 Goals
28%
2.3
6+ Goals
20%
3.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
5%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
80%
-9.9pp
16%
Draw
11%
+5.2pp
13%
Away Win
8%
+4.6pp
36%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Mjöndalen II EU Bookmakers 11%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -1%
3.28/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.86
-2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mjöndalen II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.06.2024 Mjöndalen II Mjöndalen II 1-3 HT 0-3 Sarpsborg 08 II Sarpsborg 08 II NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sarpsborg 08 II
8-1
AWAY Mjöndalen II
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Sarpsborg 08 II vs Mjöndalen II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sarpsborg 08 II swept aside Mjöndalen II 8-1. Half-time: 3-0. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sarpsborg 08 II as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 8-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sarpsborg 08 II had 50% of the ball to Mjöndalen II's 50%.

What was the final score of Sarpsborg 08 II vs Mjöndalen II?

Sarpsborg 08 II 8-1 Mjöndalen II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sarpsborg 08 II vs Mjöndalen II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sarpsborg 08 II win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Sarpsborg 08 II 70%, draw 16%, Mjöndalen II 13%. The final score 8-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sarpsborg 08 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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