Ulfstind 4-4 Floya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.65
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
57%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
3.94
Over 2.5
65%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.31
No
48%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
18%
+9.4pp
15%
Draw
18%
-3.1pp
57%
Away Win
64%
-6.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
22%
+13.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
78%
-13.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
72%
-20.4pp
48%
BTTS No
28%
+20.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulfstind EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Floya EU Bookmakers 69%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.14
-37% / +125% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
264 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
POST-MATCH Ulfstind vs Floya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulfstind and Floya couldn't be separated, finishing 4-4. Half-time: 2-4. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Floya at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (65%) came in.

What was the final score of Ulfstind vs Floya?

Ulfstind 4-4 Floya in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulfstind vs Floya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Floya win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ulfstind 28%, draw 15%, Floya 57%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Floya) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Floya) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR4 More Norway - 3rd Division
20 Oct 2024
00:00 Asane II vs Stord Sunnhordland Analysis →
00:00 Mjolner vs Skjervoy Analysis →
00:00 Funnefoss / Vormsund vs Skedsmo Analysis →
00:00 Skjetten vs Bjorkelangen Analysis →
00:00 IF Ready vs Gjellerasen Analysis →
00:00 Melhus vs Verdal Analysis →