NK Bravo 0-1 Maribor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 28% vs market 26.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.9pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Maribor EU Bookmakers 43%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -4%
1.32/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.11
+15% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -1%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
258 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NK Bravo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Maribor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
39% Ball Possession 61%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Maribor Maribor 1-1 HT 1-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
14.04.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 1-1 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
22.02.2024 Maribor Maribor 2-1 HT 1-1 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
22.10.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 2-1 HT 0-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
13.08.2023 Maribor Maribor 2-1 HT 2-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
15.03.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 2-3 HT 0-3 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NK Bravo
0-1
AWAY Maribor
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH NK Bravo vs Maribor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor nicked a narrow win over NK Bravo 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and on the day Maribor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, NK Bravo had 45% of the ball to Maribor's 55%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for NK Bravo and 1.67 for Maribor.

What was the final score of NK Bravo vs Maribor?

NK Bravo 0-1 Maribor in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NK Bravo vs Maribor?

Before kick-off our model rated a NK Bravo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split NK Bravo 40%, draw 25%, Maribor 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (NK Bravo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NK Bravo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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