24Erzincanspor 2-1 İnegölspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.49
Draw
30%
3.72
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.16
No
66%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
62%
-13.3pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.9pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.4pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.3pp
34%
BTTS Yes
42%
-7.7pp
66%
BTTS No
58%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 24Erzincanspor EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY İnegölspor EU Bookmakers 18%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -32% / -32%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+8% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -10%
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
464 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 229 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 24Erzincanspor
3W-0D-1L
AWAY İnegölspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 İnegölspor İnegölspor 2-0 HT 1-0 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor S2-K
27.08.2023 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor 1-0 HT 0-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor S2-K
10.09.2022 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor 2-1 HT 1-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor S2-B
13.12.2020 24Erzincanspor 24Erzincanspor 1-0 HT 1-0 İnegölspor İnegölspor S2-B
POST-MATCH 24Erzincanspor vs İnegölspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

24Erzincanspor nicked a narrow win over İnegölspor 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had 24Erzincanspor as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (66%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, 24Erzincanspor had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for 24Erzincanspor and 0.75 for İnegölspor.

What was the final score of 24Erzincanspor vs İnegölspor?

24Erzincanspor 2-1 İnegölspor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 24Erzincanspor vs İnegölspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a 24Erzincanspor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split 24Erzincanspor 49%, draw 30%, İnegölspor 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (24Erzincanspor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (24Erzincanspor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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