GMG Kastamonuspor 1-1 Sarıyer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
29%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
35%
+4.4pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
29%
Away Win
36%
-7.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.9pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.4pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Sarıyer EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
262 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME GMG Kastamonuspor
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Sarıyer
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.03.2024 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Sarıyer Sarıyer S2-K
22.10.2023 Sarıyer Sarıyer 1-1 HT 0-1 GMG Kastamonuspor GMG Kastamonuspor S2-K
POST-MATCH GMG Kastamonuspor vs Sarıyer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GMG Kastamonuspor and Sarıyer shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, GMG Kastamonuspor had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for GMG Kastamonuspor and 0.50 for Sarıyer.

What was the final score of GMG Kastamonuspor vs Sarıyer?

GMG Kastamonuspor 1-1 Sarıyer in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for GMG Kastamonuspor vs Sarıyer?

Before kick-off our model rated a GMG Kastamonuspor win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split GMG Kastamonuspor 40%, draw 31%, Sarıyer 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (GMG Kastamonuspor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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