Fram Reykjavik 1-1 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
41%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.63
Over
62%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1
20%
5.81
2-3
40%
2.04
4-5
27%
2.46
6+
13%
5.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
36%
Home Win
30%
+5.5pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.2pp
41%
Away Win
46%
-5.7pp
38%
Under 2.5
34%
+3.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
66%
-3.7pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.9pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik The Market 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan The Market 50%
+11% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +5%
1.62/1.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.29/1.64
+10% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +35%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 83%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.0
24.1 Crosses 21.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stjarnan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.42 xG 1.62
42% Ball Possession 58%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
276 Passes 446
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
29 Box Touches 29
24 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.08.2025 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 1-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
10.05.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
06.08.2024 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-1 HT 0-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
10.05.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-1 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
26.07.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
08.05.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
1-1
AWAY Stjarnan
1.30 xG 2.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 4
313 Passes 310
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 30
31 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik and Stjarnan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 41% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, both teams to score (63%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 52% of the ball to Stjarnan's 48%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 1.30 to 2.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 1.67 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

Fram Reykjavik 1-1 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stjarnan win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 36%, draw 24%, Stjarnan 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stjarnan), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stjarnan) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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