Fram Reykjavik 2-1 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 6 Aug 2024

📅06/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.51
Over 2.5
60%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.43
No
41%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+1.4pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS No
34%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fram Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 37%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +3%
1.76/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.48
-10% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +29%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.5
15.7 Crosses 12.8
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fram Reykjavik
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Stjarnan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.02 xG 1.66
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
292 Passes 526
76% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 31
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-1 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
26.07.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 4-0 HT 1-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
08.05.2023 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-1 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
02.03.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 0-0 HT 0-0 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZLK
03.08.2022 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik 2-2 HT 2-1 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
07.05.2022 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-1 HT 0-1 Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fram Reykjavik
2-1
AWAY Stjarnan
1.72 xG 0.63
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 4
252 Passes 448
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
30 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fram Reykjavik edged past Stjarnan 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fram Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fram Reykjavik had 39% of the ball to Stjarnan's 61%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.72 to 0.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Fram Reykjavik and 1.50 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

Fram Reykjavik 2-1 Stjarnan in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fram Reykjavik vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fram Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fram Reykjavik 43%, draw 23%, Stjarnan 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fram Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fram Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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