KA Akureyri vs Valur Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KA Akureyri v Valur — Team-Based Signals
KA Akureyri vs Valur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-2
HT 3-0
KA Akureyri
İZL
0-4
HT 0-3
Valur
İZL
2-0
HT 2-0
Valur
İZL
0-1
HT 0-0
KA Akureyri
İZL
KA Akureyri 1-0 Valur — Actual Match Statistics
KA Akureyri squeezed past Valur 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Valur at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, KA Akureyri had 48% of the ball to Valur's 52%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.52 to 1.10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KA Akureyri and 2.17 for Valur.
What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Valur?
KA Akureyri 1-0 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Valur?
Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 34%, draw 24%, Valur 43%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.