KA Akureyri vs Valur Prediction — Model Probabilities
KA Akureyri v Valur — Team-Based Signals
KA Akureyri vs Valur Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
KA Akureyri 1-0 Valur — Actual Match Statistics
KA Akureyri shaded a tight game against Valur 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Valur at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (75%), both teams to score (68%) never looked like landing.
The match data tells the story: KA Akureyri had 48% of the ball to Valur's 52%, shots finished 13-9, expected goals 1.52 to 1.10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for KA Akureyri and 2.17 for Valur.
KA Akureyri vs Valur Result & Final Score
KA Akureyri 1 - 0 Valur in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
KA Akureyri vs Valur Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 28%, draw 22%, Valur 50%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.