Breidablik 3-0 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 6 Aug 2024

📅06/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.34
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
70%
-12.9pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.2pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.8pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+13.6pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-13.6pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-4.3pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Breidablik EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 17%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -11%
2.12/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.84
+11% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 71%
33.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
21.6 Crosses 19.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Breidablik
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Fylkir
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.94 xG 0.67
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
423 Passes 229
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
36 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Fylkir Fylkir 0-3 HT 0-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
07.07.2023 Breidablik Breidablik 5-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
08.05.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 1-2 HT 1-1 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
29.08.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 0-7 HT 0-4 Breidablik Breidablik İZL
12.06.2021 Breidablik Breidablik 2-0 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
13.03.2021 Breidablik Breidablik 2-1 HT 1-1 Fylkir Fylkir İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Breidablik
3-0
AWAY Fylkir
2.64 xG 0.75
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
574 Passes 245
91% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Breidablik vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Breidablik ran out comfortable winners over Fylkir 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Breidablik as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (62%) landed while both teams to score (59%) missed.

On the day, Breidablik had 66% of the ball to Fylkir's 34%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.64 to 0.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Breidablik had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Breidablik and 0.50 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of Breidablik vs Fylkir?

Breidablik 3-0 Fylkir in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 06/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Breidablik vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Breidablik win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Breidablik 57%, draw 22%, Fylkir 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Breidablik), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Breidablik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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