Dordrecht 1-2 RKC Waalwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Oct 2025

Dordrecht
1-2 HT 1-0
RKC Waalwijk
📅20/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eerste Divisie – 2025/2026

Dordrecht vs RKC Waalwijk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.51
Over 2.5
51%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
42%
+2.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.4pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dordrecht v RKC Waalwijk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY RKC Waalwijk EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
1.32/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.35
+2% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.5
18.5 Crosses 21.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0

Dordrecht vs RKC Waalwijk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dordrecht
3W-1D-2L
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
246 Passes 234
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
19.04.2019 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 4-4 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
30.11.2018 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-0 HT 1-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
12.03.2018 Dordrecht Dordrecht 1-0 HT 0-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HOL2
27.10.2017 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 1-0 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
12.08.2017 Dordrecht Dordrecht 4-2 HT 2-0 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk HAZ
17.02.2017 RKC Waalwijk RKC Waalwijk 2-1 HT 0-1 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2

Dordrecht 1-2 RKC Waalwijk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dordrecht
1-2
AWAY RKC Waalwijk
1.01 xG 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
273 Passes 291
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dordrecht vs RKC Waalwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RKC Waalwijk edged past Dordrecht 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Dordrecht at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Dordrecht had 50% of the ball to RKC Waalwijk's 50%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 1.01 to 2.00.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dordrecht had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Dordrecht and 1.50 for RKC Waalwijk.

What was the final score of Dordrecht vs RKC Waalwijk?

Dordrecht 1-2 RKC Waalwijk in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dordrecht vs RKC Waalwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dordrecht win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Dordrecht 45%, draw 22%, RKC Waalwijk 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dordrecht) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dordrecht) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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