AZ Alkmaar II vs Willem II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar II v Willem II — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar II vs Willem II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Willem II
HOL2
2-2
HT 0-2
Willem II
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
AZ Alkmaar II 4-0 Willem II — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar II swept aside Willem II 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 21% / 42%) promised a tight game; AZ Alkmaar II found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar II had 52% of the ball to Willem II's 48%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.81 to 0.62.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Willem II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for AZ Alkmaar II and 2.25 for Willem II.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar II vs Willem II?
AZ Alkmaar II 4-0 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar II vs Willem II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 37%, draw 21%, Willem II 42%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Willem II), BTTS Yes went the other way.