AZ Alkmaar II 4-0 Willem II — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off. · updated 18:50
Match Result
Home
38%
2.28
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.25
OverVIEW
63%
1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.49
No
39%
2.43
Total Goals
0-1
17%
2-3
42%
4-5
30%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME AZ Alkmaar II The Market 44%
Signal
AWAY Willem II The Market 39%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.80 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.59
1.53 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.36
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
368 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 78%
27 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
11 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Willem II
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
0.46 xG 1.29
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
472 Passes 276
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2024 Willem II Willem II 4-1 HT 2-1 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
29.09.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 0-2 HT 0-1 Willem II Willem II HOL2
06.03.2023 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II 2-2 HT 0-2 Willem II Willem II HOL2
16.09.2022 Willem II Willem II 1-0 HT 0-0 AZ Alkmaar II AZ Alkmaar II HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ Alkmaar II
4 - 0
AWAY Willem II
1.81 xG 0.62
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
410 Passes 375
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
30 Box Touches 13
10 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW AZ Alkmaar II vs Willem II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

AZ Alkmaar II overpowered Willem II 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

The model refused to pick a side here (38% / 24% / 38%); AZ Alkmaar II picked one for it. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (61%) missed.

By the numbers, possession split 52% to 48% in AZ Alkmaar II's favour, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.81 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Willem II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.75 a game for AZ Alkmaar II against 2.25 for Willem II.

AZ Alkmaar II vs Willem II Result & Final Score

AZ Alkmaar II 4 - 0 Willem II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

AZ Alkmaar II vs Willem II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar II 38%, draw 24%, Willem II 38%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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