Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Willem II v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Willem II 4-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
Willem II made light work of AZ Alkmaar II 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Willem II as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (57%) came home.
Under the surface, AZ Alkmaar II saw more of the ball, 62% to 38%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.37 to 0.78.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.67 a game for Willem II against 0.67 for AZ Alkmaar II.
Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar II Result & Final Score
Willem II 4 - 1 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Willem II 68%, draw 17%, AZ Alkmaar II 14%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.