Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Willem II v AZ Alkmaar II — Team-Based Signals
Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar II Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Willem II
HOL2
2-2
HT 0-2
Willem II
HOL2
1-0
HT 0-0
AZ Alkmaar II
HOL2
Willem II 4-1 AZ Alkmaar II — Actual Match Statistics
Willem II cruised past AZ Alkmaar II 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Willem II as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Willem II had 38% of the ball to AZ Alkmaar II's 62%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.37 to 0.78.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Willem II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Willem II and 0.67 for AZ Alkmaar II.
What was the final score of Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Willem II 4-1 AZ Alkmaar II in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Willem II vs AZ Alkmaar II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Willem II win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Willem II 57%, draw 21%, AZ Alkmaar II 22%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Willem II), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.