NAC Breda 1-4 Dordrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 12 Apr 2024

📅12/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.43
Over 2.5
51%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
5.16
2-3 Goals
36%
1.96
4-5 Goals
25%
2.73
6+ Goals
13%
6.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.65
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
11%
4.87
X/2
9%
7.21
X/X
12%
5.93
2/1
7%
21.2
2/2
15%
4.54
2/X
10%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
-5.4pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+11.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-11.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.6pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NAC Breda EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dordrecht EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +5%
1.02/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.73
-20% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
19.8 Crosses 18.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NAC Breda
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dordrecht
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.33 xG 1.26
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
318 Passes 324
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2023 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-2 HT 1-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
24.02.2023 NAC Breda NAC Breda 3-2 HT 2-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
22.10.2022 Dordrecht Dordrecht 0-3 HT 0-1 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
22.04.2022 NAC Breda NAC Breda 1-2 HT 1-0 Dordrecht Dordrecht HOL2
05.11.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-1 HT 0-0 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
19.02.2021 Dordrecht Dordrecht 2-3 HT 1-2 NAC Breda NAC Breda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME NAC Breda
1-4
AWAY Dordrecht
1.96 xG 1.76
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 21
3 Shots on Target 10
6 Corners 9
274 Passes 373
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
17 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH NAC Breda vs Dordrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dordrecht cruised past NAC Breda 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was NAC Breda at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, NAC Breda had 44% of the ball to Dordrecht's 56%, shots finished 13-21, expected goals 1.96 to 1.76.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NAC Breda had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for NAC Breda and 1.67 for Dordrecht.

What was the final score of NAC Breda vs Dordrecht?

NAC Breda 1-4 Dordrecht in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NAC Breda vs Dordrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a NAC Breda win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split NAC Breda 42%, draw 27%, Dordrecht 31%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NAC Breda) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NAC Breda) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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