FC Oss 1-4 Roda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 12 Apr 2024

FC Oss
1-4 HT 0-3
Roda
📅12/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
48%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.18
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
11%
9.43
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.18 — our 26% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.53
1/2
11%
21.45
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
12%
9.09
X/2
14%
4.18
X/X
12%
5.58
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.22
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
48%
Away Win
53%
-5.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.1pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Oss EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Roda EU Bookmakers 57%
+5% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -19%
1.12/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.09
+4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 80%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
15.6 Crosses 20.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Oss
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Roda
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.96 xG 1.23
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
272 Passes 486
73% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2023 Roda Roda 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
13.01.2023 Roda Roda 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
21.10.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 3-0 HT 0-0 Roda Roda HOL2
11.03.2022 FC Oss FC Oss 1-2 HT 0-1 Roda Roda HOL2
17.09.2021 Roda Roda 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Oss FC Oss HOL2
12.05.2021 FC Oss FC Oss 2-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Oss
1-4
AWAY Roda
0.58 xG 1.32
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
298 Passes 371
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
27 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Oss vs Roda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roda ran out comfortable winners over FC Oss 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Roda as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, FC Oss had 45% of the ball to Roda's 55%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.58 to 1.32.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roda led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Oss and 1.17 for Roda.

What was the final score of FC Oss vs Roda?

FC Oss 1-4 Roda in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 12/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Oss vs Roda?

Before kick-off our model rated an Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Oss 27%, draw 25%, Roda 48%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Roda) ✓ Over 2.5
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