Roda 2-0 Almere City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eerste Divisie, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.2pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Roda EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Almere City EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +20%
1.50/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.24
-2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
19.1 Crosses 18.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Roda
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Almere City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.15 xG 1.45
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
346 Passes 306
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2023 Roda Roda 0-2 HT 0-1 Almere City Almere City HOL2
30.09.2022 Almere City Almere City 2-1 HT 1-1 Roda Roda HOL2
14.01.2022 Almere City Almere City 0-4 HT 0-3 Roda Roda HOL2
27.08.2021 Roda Roda 3-4 HT 1-2 Almere City Almere City HOL2
10.10.2020 Almere City Almere City 2-1 HT 2-1 Roda Roda HOL2
20.12.2019 Almere City Almere City 2-0 HT 1-0 Roda Roda HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Roda
2-0
AWAY Almere City
2.17 xG 0.79
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 9
417 Passes 283
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
33 Box Touches 21
26 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Roda vs Almere City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Roda saw off Almere City 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Roda as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Roda had 58% of the ball to Almere City's 42%, shots finished 13-15, expected goals 2.17 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almere City led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Roda and 2.00 for Almere City.

What was the final score of Roda vs Almere City?

Roda 2-0 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eerste Divisie on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Roda vs Almere City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Roda win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Roda 42%, draw 23%, Almere City 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roda) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Roda) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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