Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Motherwell v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
a 1-1 draw left Motherwell and Kilmarnock with a point apiece. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.
Our pre-match lean was Motherwell at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 50% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, Motherwell had 35% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 65%, shots finished 4-13, expected goals 0.66 to 1.03.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Motherwell and 0.67 for Kilmarnock.
Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Result & Final Score
Motherwell 1 - 1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 46%, draw 28%, Kilmarnock 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motherwell) went the other way.