Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Motherwell v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Motherwell
İKP
2-1
HT 0-1
Kilmarnock
İKP
2-0
HT 1-0
Kilmarnock
İKP
1-1
HT 1-0
Motherwell
İKP
Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Motherwell and Kilmarnock shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Motherwell at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Motherwell had 35% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 65%, shots finished 4-13, expected goals 0.66 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Motherwell and 0.67 for Kilmarnock.
What was the final score of Motherwell vs Kilmarnock?
Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Kilmarnock?
Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 42%, draw 28%, Kilmarnock 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Motherwell), Over 2.5 went the other way.