Elversberg 1-4 Schalke 04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.59
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
13%
7.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.85
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
9%
12.65
X/1
11%
5.11
X/2
14%
7.08
X/X
7%
5.54
2/1
7%
22.55
2/2
15%
4.49
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.3pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.3pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elversberg EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -16%
1.32/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.85
-3% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -30%
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
17.8 Crosses 17.4
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elversberg
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Schalke 04
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.38 xG 1.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 21
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
290 Passes 346
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 30
12 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2024 Elversberg Elversberg 1-1 HT 1-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL2
10.11.2023 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-2 HT 1-2 Elversberg Elversberg AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elversberg
1-4
AWAY Schalke 04
1.14 xG 1.30
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
328 Passes 248
76% Pass Accuracy 72%
25 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elversberg vs Schalke 04
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schalke 04 swept aside Elversberg 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Elversberg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Elversberg had 56% of the ball to Schalke 04's 44%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.14 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Elversberg had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Elversberg and 1.00 for Schalke 04.

What was the final score of Elversberg vs Schalke 04?

Elversberg 1-4 Schalke 04 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elversberg vs Schalke 04?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elversberg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Elversberg 42%, draw 22%, Schalke 04 36%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Elversberg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elversberg) ✓ Over 2.5
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