Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-5 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 20 Dec 2024

Fortuna Düsseldorf
2-5 HT 2-1
Magdeburg
📅20/12/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Magdeburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.02
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.49
No
50%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.69
2-3 Goals
37%
1.89
4-5 Goals
24%
2.72
6+ Goals
12%
7.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.69 — our 27% vs market 15.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.82
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
5.12
X/2
14%
7.17
X/X
13%
5.56
2/1
6%
22.55
2/2
11%
4.53
2/X
5%
12.8
Value flag · X/1 at 5.12 — our 21% vs market 15.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
63%
-13.1pp
50%
BTTS No
37%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Magdeburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.52/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.78
-3% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -14%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
24.7 Crosses 12.3
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Magdeburg Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
5W-0D-0L
AWAY Magdeburg
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
2.17 xG 1.05
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
302 Passes 389
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
26 Box Touches 25
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.05.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 HT 2-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
16.12.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-3 HT 2-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
05.12.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AFK
27.01.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 HT 2-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
16.07.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-5 Magdeburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
2-5
AWAY Magdeburg
2.45 xG 3.45
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 1
287 Passes 530
83% Pass Accuracy 91%
25 Box Touches 27
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magdeburg ran out comfortable winners over Fortuna Düsseldorf 5-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Fortuna Düsseldorf at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 38% of the ball to Magdeburg's 62%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 2.45 to 3.45.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.60 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Magdeburg?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 2-5 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 43%, draw 25%, Magdeburg 32%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5
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