Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 Magdeburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 19 May 2024

Fortuna Düsseldorf
3-2 HT 2-1
Magdeburg
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Magdeburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.63
Over 2.5
61%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.41
No
43%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.39
2-3 Goals
37%
2.11
4-5 Goals
30%
2.52
6+ Goals
13%
5.36
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
34%
+5.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
66%
-4.9pp
57%
BTTS Yes
67%
-9.9pp
43%
BTTS No
33%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Fortuna Düsseldorf v Magdeburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -20%
1.60/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.87
+18% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
25.3 Crosses 13.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Magdeburg Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
4W-0D-0L
AWAY Magdeburg
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.17 xG 0.96
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
301 Passes 364
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 24
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.12.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 2-3 HT 2-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
05.12.2023 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-2 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AFK
27.01.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 HT 2-1 Magdeburg Magdeburg AL2
16.07.2022 Magdeburg Magdeburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2

Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 Magdeburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
3-2
AWAY Magdeburg
2.18 xG 1.38
40% Ball Possession 60%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 11
306 Passes 493
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
31 Box Touches 31
20 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Magdeburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf squeezed past Magdeburg 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fortuna Düsseldorf as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 40% of the ball to Magdeburg's 60%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.18 to 1.38.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fortuna Düsseldorf had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.50 for Magdeburg.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Magdeburg?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-2 Magdeburg in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Magdeburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 50%, draw 25%, Magdeburg 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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