Hansa Rostock 1-2 Paderborn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.51
Over 2.5
55%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.43
No
44%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-3.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.9pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+3.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
36%
+8.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
64%
-8.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
66%
-9.8pp
44%
BTTS No
34%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Paderborn EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.53/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.48
-12% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
319 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
23.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
23.2 Crosses 15.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Paderborn
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.60 xG 1.87
34% Ball Possession 66%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
173 Passes 498
66% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 35
16 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.12.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 3-0 HT 1-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
15.04.2023 Paderborn Paderborn 3-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
08.10.2022 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-3 HT 0-1 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
30.04.2022 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-0 HT 0-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL2
28.11.2021 Paderborn Paderborn 1-1 HT 0-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
10.03.2018 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-3 HT 2-0 Paderborn Paderborn AL3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
1-2
AWAY Paderborn
1.65 xG 2.07
34% Ball Possession 66%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 6
183 Passes 448
64% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 15
13 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Paderborn
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paderborn edged past Hansa Rostock 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 24% / 37% — and on the day Paderborn made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 34% of the ball to Paderborn's 66%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.65 to 2.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paderborn led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hansa Rostock and 2.17 for Paderborn.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Paderborn?

Hansa Rostock 1-2 Paderborn in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Paderborn?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hansa Rostock win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 39%, draw 24%, Paderborn 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hansa Rostock) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hansa Rostock) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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