Greuther Fürth 2-0 Schalke 04 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 19 May 2024

Greuther Fürth
2-0 HT 0-0
Schalke 04
📅19/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Greuther Fürth vs Schalke 04 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.61
Over 2.5
53%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
6.31
2-3 Goals
39%
2.1
4-5 Goals
26%
2.53
6+ Goals
12%
5.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
35%
+12.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
65%
-12.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-15.1pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+15.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Greuther Fürth v Schalke 04 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -17%
1.53/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.86
-14% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -39%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 73%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
21.0 Crosses 17.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Greuther Fürth vs Schalke 04 Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greuther Fürth
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Schalke 04
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.55 xG 0.92
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
370 Passes 280
78% Pass Accuracy 74%
12 Box Touches 13
11 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.12.2023 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 2-2 HT 1-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
02.02.2013 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 1-2 HT 0-0 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL1
15.09.2012 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 0-2 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 Schalke 04 AL1

Greuther Fürth 2-0 Schalke 04 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greuther Fürth
2-0
AWAY Schalke 04
2.09 xG 0.91
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 3
331 Passes 311
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 15
10 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Greuther Fürth vs Schalke 04
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth got the better of Schalke 04 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Greuther Fürth as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Greuther Fürth had 51% of the ball to Schalke 04's 49%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.09 to 0.91.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Greuther Fürth and 1.67 for Schalke 04.

What was the final score of Greuther Fürth vs Schalke 04?

Greuther Fürth 2-0 Schalke 04 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greuther Fürth vs Schalke 04?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greuther Fürth win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Greuther Fürth 45%, draw 25%, Schalke 04 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greuther Fürth) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greuther Fürth) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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