Osnabrück 2-1 Hertha Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
46%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.98
Over 2.5
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.35
No
48%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
8.01
2-3 Goals
39%
2.31
4-5 Goals
26%
2.39
6+ Goals
12%
4.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
25%
+5.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.7pp
46%
Away Win
52%
-5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
70%
-17.8pp
48%
BTTS No
30%
+17.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osnabrück EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 56%
-17% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
0.56/1.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.75
-57% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +65%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
272 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 428 · 81%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osnabrück
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Hertha Berlin
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.38 xG 0.57
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
198 Passes 379
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2023 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 0-0 HT 0-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
16.04.2011 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin 4-0 HT 2-0 Osnabrück Osnabrück AL2
19.11.2010 Osnabrück Osnabrück 2-0 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AL2
19.12.2006 Osnabrück Osnabrück 0-3 HT 0-2 Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin AFK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osnabrück
2-1
AWAY Hertha Berlin
0.81 xG 1.94
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
360 Passes 441
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
24 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Osnabrück vs Hertha Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osnabrück nicked a narrow win over Hertha Berlin 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Hertha Berlin at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Osnabrück had 46% of the ball to Hertha Berlin's 54%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.81 to 1.94 — on chances, Hertha Berlin could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Osnabrück and 1.75 for Hertha Berlin.

What was the final score of Osnabrück vs Hertha Berlin?

Osnabrück 2-1 Hertha Berlin in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osnabrück vs Hertha Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Osnabrück 30%, draw 24%, Hertha Berlin 46%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hertha Berlin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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