Hannover 96 1-2 Holstein Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.0
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.39
No
45%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.36
2-3 Goals
42%
2.11
4-5 Goals
26%
2.53
6+ Goals
10%
5.38
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.9pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+10.7pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-10.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
-12.5pp
45%
BTTS No
32%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstein Kiel EU Bookmakers 33%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +34%
1.65/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.42
-2% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
305 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
19.4 Crosses 19.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Holstein Kiel
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.29 xG 1.29
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
333 Passes 388
82% Pass Accuracy 82%
23 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 3-2 HT 2-1 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel HAZ
16.12.2023 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 3-0 HT 3-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
28.05.2023 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 1-5 HT 0-3 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
11.11.2022 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 1-1 HT 1-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
25.02.2022 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel AL2
18.09.2021 Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel 0-3 HT 0-3 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
1-2
AWAY Holstein Kiel
1.48 xG 0.72
54% Ball Possession 46%
24 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 3
414 Passes 350
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
39 Box Touches 13
30 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel nicked a narrow win over Hannover 96 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Hannover 96 at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 54% of the ball to Holstein Kiel's 46%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 1.48 to 0.72 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hannover 96.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hannover 96 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hannover 96 and 1.83 for Holstein Kiel.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel?

Hannover 96 1-2 Holstein Kiel in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Holstein Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 41%, draw 26%, Holstein Kiel 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hannover 96) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AL2 More Germany - 2. Bundesliga
19 May 2024
16:30 Hansa Rostock vs Paderborn Analysis →
16:30 Wehen Wiesbaden vs St. Pauli Analysis →
16:30 Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Magdeburg Analysis →
16:30 Greuther Fürth vs Schalke 04 Analysis →
16:30 Osnabrück vs Hertha Berlin Analysis →
16:30 Kaiserslautern vs Braunschweig Analysis →