Wehen Wiesbaden 1-2 St. Pauli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.8
2-3 Goals
39%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.81
6+ Goals
13%
7.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.31
1/2 EV+ ✓
7%
23.15
1/X
8%
12.2
X/1
12%
6.93
X/2
9%
5.25
X/X
9%
5.33
2/1
5%
28.5
2/2
24%
2.92
2/X
8%
12.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.15 — our 7% vs market 2.1%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.9pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.8pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.2pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Pauli EU Bookmakers 46%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.12/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.33
-26% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -7%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
297 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 79%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
17.0 Crosses 20.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
3W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Pauli
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.28 xG 1.84
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
308 Passes 448
72% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 38
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.12.2023 St. Pauli St. Pauli 1-1 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
28.06.2020 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 5-3 HT 3-2 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
14.12.2019 St. Pauli St. Pauli 3-1 HT 1-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
17.08.2018 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 3-2 HT 1-0 St. Pauli St. Pauli AFK
05.04.2009 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden 3-1 HT 1-1 St. Pauli St. Pauli AL2
24.10.2008 St. Pauli St. Pauli 2-0 HT 0-0 Wehen Wiesbaden Wehen Wiesbaden AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wehen Wiesbaden
1-2
AWAY St. Pauli
0.86 xG 1.21
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 8
254 Passes 512
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Box Touches 23
23 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wehen Wiesbaden vs St. Pauli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Pauli edged past Wehen Wiesbaden 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; St. Pauli found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Wehen Wiesbaden had 37% of the ball to St. Pauli's 63%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 0.86 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wehen Wiesbaden had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Wehen Wiesbaden and 2.00 for St. Pauli.

What was the final score of Wehen Wiesbaden vs St. Pauli?

Wehen Wiesbaden 1-2 St. Pauli in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wehen Wiesbaden vs St. Pauli?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Pauli win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wehen Wiesbaden 36%, draw 25%, St. Pauli 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Pauli), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Pauli) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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