W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-1 Perth Glory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 20 Dec 2024

📅20/12/2024 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.18
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-6.9pp
31%
Draw
25%
+6.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+1.6pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Perth Glory (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-40% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
314 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.5 Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.63 xG 1.73
48% Ball Possession 52%
19 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
269 Passes 322
70% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
16.03.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
07.01.2024 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
19.01.2020 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 3-1 HT 1-0 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
24.01.2019 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-5 HT 1-2 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) AVUSTW
17.11.2018 Perth Glory (K) Perth Glory (K) 3-0 HT 2-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1-1
AWAY Perth Glory (K)
0.82 xG 2.78
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 9
8 Corners 6
250 Passes 273
69% Pass Accuracy 73%
18 Box Touches 31
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Perth Glory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and Perth Glory (K) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 50% of the ball to Perth Glory (K)'s 50%, shots finished 10-26, expected goals 0.82 to 2.78.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) and 1.80 for Perth Glory (K).

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-1 Perth Glory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 20/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Perth Glory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a W. Sydney Wanderers (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 35%, draw 31%, Perth Glory (K) 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (W. Sydney Wanderers (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (W. Sydney Wanderers (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVUSTW More Australia - W-League
20 Dec 2024
08:50 Adelaide United (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Analysis →