Chelmsford City 0-1 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.82
Over
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.11
2-3
39%
1.75
4-5
21%
3.51
6+
9%
14.1
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.11 — our 31% vs market 25.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
40%
Away Win
34%
+6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.5pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City The Market 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United The Market 37%
-2% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.38/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.21
-3% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
19.08.2025 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-0 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
25.02.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
17.01.2023 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-0 HT 1-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
07.05.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
30.08.2021 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-0 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
03.02.2014 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-2 HT 1-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ebbsfleet United nicked a narrow win over Chelmsford City 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Ebbsfleet United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Chelmsford City and 1.33 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?

Chelmsford City 0-1 Ebbsfleet United in the England - Conference on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 35%, draw 25%, Ebbsfleet United 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ebbsfleet United), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✓ Under 2.5
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