Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Dec 2025

📅20/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
59%
1.64
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.9
Over
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
3.25
2-3
39%
1.76
4-5
22%
3.38
6+
10%
12.85
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.25 — our 29% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
27%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Weston-super-Mare win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
59%
Home Win
56%
+2.5pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
20%
Away Win
20%
+0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare The Market 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town The Market 23%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +23%
1.73/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.26
-3% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +30%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
380 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Chippenham Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
15.11.2025 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İNFAT
19.08.2025 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
18.04.2025 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
01.01.2025 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-3 HT 0-2 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
01.10.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town FAK
28.09.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1-0
AWAY Chippenham Town
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare nicked a narrow win over Chippenham Town 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Weston-super-Mare as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Weston-super-Mare had 45% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 55%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 1.17 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Chippenham Town?

Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 20/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 59%, draw 21%, Chippenham Town 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare)
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