Chippenham Town 1-2 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 19 Aug 2025

📅19/08/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
50%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.09
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.36
6+ Goals
11%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 26% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
34%
-6.7pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.6pp
50%
Away Win
40%
+10.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +18%
1.18/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/0.92
-10% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / +41%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
303 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.04.2025 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
01.01.2025 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-3 HT 0-2 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
01.10.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town FAK
28.09.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare FAK
09.04.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-1 HT 1-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
05.03.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
1-2
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare edged past Chippenham Town 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Weston-super-Mare as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 50% of the ball to Weston-super-Mare's 50%, shots finished 8-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Chippenham Town and 1.00 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Weston-super-Mare?

Chippenham Town 1-2 Weston-super-Mare in the England - Conference on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 27%, draw 23%, Weston-super-Mare 50%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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