Merthyr Town vs Marine Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Merthyr Town v Marine — Team-Based Signals
Merthyr Town 1-3 Marine — Actual Match Statistics
Marine beat Merthyr Town 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 31% — and on the day Marine made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Merthyr Town had 58% of the ball to Marine's 42%, shots finished 13-20.
What was the final score of Merthyr Town vs Marine?
Merthyr Town 1-3 Marine in the England - Conference on 19/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Merthyr Town vs Marine?
Before kick-off our model rated a Merthyr Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Merthyr Town 40%, draw 28%, Marine 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.